-- Why is it that a 1 in a million chance succeeds nine times out of ten? --
Unless you're playing the lottery or any game of chance. Then, even if you've got a 1 in 3 chance of winning (like say a soda company's claim, "1 in 3 wins!") you could buy 200 of said product and still not win jack.
No, see, many prominent Wizards have calculated that while a one in a 999,999 chance will succeed exactly 1 in 999,999 times, and 1 in 1,000,000 chance happens nine times out of ten.
Something to do with spacial distortion leading to a gentle causality loop, and the Gods liking foolish people, I'm not sure exactly.
(Do you read Terry Pratchett's Discworld series? This makes MUCH more sense if you do. If you don't, I suggest you do. :p)
But yeah, "1 in 3 wins!" actually means "Buy 3 to get your hopes up!" or something like that.
no subject
Date: 2005-11-03 12:08 am (UTC)Somehow, in some strange fashion, I think this could work. With a big enough umbrella, anything is possible.
-- Chance of catastrophic failure at critical moments: 10% --
Why is it that 10% seems to happen 99% of the time? Just curious.
no subject
Date: 2005-11-03 12:09 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2005-11-03 04:58 pm (UTC)Unless you're playing the lottery or any game of chance. Then, even if you've got a 1 in 3 chance of winning (like say a soda company's claim, "1 in 3 wins!") you could buy 200 of said product and still not win jack.
Or is it just me?
no subject
Date: 2005-11-03 11:23 pm (UTC)Something to do with spacial distortion leading to a gentle causality loop, and the Gods liking foolish people, I'm not sure exactly.
(Do you read Terry Pratchett's Discworld series? This makes MUCH more sense if you do. If you don't, I suggest you do. :p)
But yeah, "1 in 3 wins!" actually means "Buy 3 to get your hopes up!" or something like that.
no subject
Date: 2005-11-04 03:37 am (UTC)But that is closer to starship odds than Discworld ;)
-tt